Sterling shrugs off election uncertainty, bulls eye cloud base at 1.3050
GBP/USD broke above resistance just ahead of 1.30 rising above its 21-DMA to session high 1.3020 in early NorAm trading, and bulls now target the daily cloud base by 1.3050 as traders lighten recent Trump trades as U.S. Election Day progresses in what is expected to be a close race.
Markets see policies of former President Donald Trump as potentially more dollar positive due to his trade stance favoring tariffs, which could potentially become inflationary. A victory by Vice President Kamala Harris is seen as potentially less favorable scenario for the dollar due to her softer trade stance, which -- inflation allowing -- could lead to lower Fed rates and possibly pull GBP/USD higher.
Current STIR futures, as seen on LSEG's IRPR, indicate both the Fed and BoE are expected to cut rates by 25bp this week.
However, further out the futures strip, the BoE policy path shows a shift to a higher BoE rate path in the near term. This should keep GBP/USD relatively bid versus the dollar regardless of post-election volatility.
For now 1.3050 the daily cloud base, and 1.2845, the Oct. 31 post-budget low, remain first-line resistance and support levels.
For more click on FXBUZ
GBP Chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/4hwVuoL
(Paul Spirgel is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
</body></html>
免责声明: XM Group仅提供在线交易平台的执行服务和访问权限，并允许个人查看和/或使用网站或网站所提供的内容，但无意进行任何更改或扩展，也不会更改或扩展其服务和访问权限。所有访问和使用权限，将受下列条款与条例约束：(i) 条款与条例；(ii) 风险提示；以及(iii) 完整免责声明。请注意，网站所提供的所有讯息，仅限一般资讯用途。此外，XM所有在线交易平台的内容并不构成，也不能被用于任何未经授权的金融市场交易邀约和/或邀请。金融市场交易对于您的投资资本含有重大风险。
所有在线交易平台所发布的资料，仅适用于教育/资讯类用途，不包含也不应被视为用于金融、投资税或交易相关咨询和建议，或是交易价格纪录，或是任何金融商品或非应邀途径的金融相关优惠的交易邀约或邀请。
本网站上由XM和第三方供应商所提供的所有内容，包括意见、新闻、研究、分析、价格、其他资讯和第三方网站链接，皆保持不变，并作为一般市场评论所提供，而非投资性建议。所有在线交易平台所发布的资料，仅适用于教育/资讯类用途，不包含也不应被视为适用于金融、投资税或交易相关咨询和建议，或是交易价格纪录，或是任何金融商品或非应邀途径的金融相关优惠的交易邀约或邀请。请确保您已阅读并完全理解，XM非独立投资研究提示和风险提示相关资讯，更多详情请点击 这里。
