Wheat, corn and soy fall as market anticipates Trump win
Adds analyst comment, updates prices
CANBERRA, Nov 6 (Reuters) -Chicago wheat, corn and soybean futures fell sharply on Wednesday as early results from the U.S. presidential election put Donald Trump in the lead, raising prospects of new trade barriers and boosting the dollar.
Trump, the Republican candidate, wasdrawing more support than he did in his failed 2020 campaign, though the result remained unclear in most of the battleground states that will decide the winner.
Markets did not wait. U.S. stock futures, Treasury yields and the dollar gained sharply and most commodities lost ground. MKTS/GLOB FRX/ USD=
Tariffs proposed by Trump could disrupt U.S. agricultural trade,U.S. farmers fear. A stronger dollar makes U.S. farm exports costlier for overseas buyers.
"A trade war with China is now more of a possibility," said Ole Houe, director of advisory services at IKON Commodities in Sydney.
But even if Trump wins, prices would quickly rebound, he said.
"The market will initially trade the trade but claw it all back within a week... There's plenty of demand for wheat and feed grain in the world. Soybeans are fairly priced, but wheat and corn are too cheap."
The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade Wv1 had fallen 1.5% to $5.63-3/4 a bushel at 0459 GMT, with CBOT soybeans Sv1 1.9% lower at $9.83 a bushel and corn Cv1 down 0.9% at $4.14-3/4 a bushel.
All three contracts have regained some ground since hitting four-year lows in recent months.
Bumper U.S. corn and soybean harvests and improving conditions in U.S. winter wheat areas have pressured prices but the harvests are now winding up and other key wheat regions, such as the Black Sea and Australia, are dry, analysts said.
Markets are also looking forward to a U.S. interest rate decision on Thursday and crop forecasts from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) on Friday.
Reporting by Peter Hobson; Editing by Sumana Nandy
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