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USD/JPY off high perch with US yields post-Fed rate cut



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  • Focus back to US yields, off post-Fed and helps USD/JPY off high perch

  • USD/JPY 154.71 high in Asia to 152.70 EBS, Asia so far today 152.94-153.24

  • Yield on US Tsy 2s 4.312% post-Trump win to 4.191%, 10s 4.479% to 4.310%

  • Treasury 2s currently @4.206%, 10s @4.337%, steadies above overnight lows

  • USD/JPY holding for now near daily Ichi tenkan at 153.00

  • Near base of 153.00-67 hourly Ichi cloud, 55-HMA 153.58, 100/200 152.91/92

  • Post-Trump, post-FOMC retracement over? Looks to hinge on moves in US rates

  • Option expiries in area today 152.00 $724 mln, 152.90-153.00 $900 mln

  • Also 154.00 $973 mln above and 151.75 $734 mln below

  • Smaller risk of Japan FX intervention today after pull-back nL1N3ME031

  • Specs and Japanese importer bids likely again on dips, exporters on rallies?

  • Related comments nL1N3ME13P, nL1N3ME0L2, nL1N3MD21Q, nL8N3MD29K

  • Also nL1N3ME1DJ, on Fed nL1N3ME0SU, nL1N3ME1HH, US data nL1N3ME0RX

  • US markets nL1N3ME1IA, nL1N3ME1KY, nL4N3ME21B, nL1N3ME02O

  • On Trump/BOJ nL6N3ME0Y4, for more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/4hBPmLU

USD/JPY nearby option expiries into next week: https://tmsnrt.rs/3UDu4DW

Yield on US Treasury 2s: https://tmsnrt.rs/4hDrLKG

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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