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USD/JPY reaction to BOJ helps wrongfoot FX traders



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Oct 31 -USD/JPY price action could have put longs in a bind and they may be set for more pain in coming sessions if spot loses further altitude.

The Bank of Japan maintained ultra-low interest rates on Thursday but said risks around the U.S. economy were somewhat subsiding, signalling that conditions are falling into place to raise interest rates again. The comments of BOJ's Kazuo Ueda after Thursday's meeting were seen as less dovish than those made before. FX traders have demanded the Japanese yen as a result.

USD/JPY has fallen from 153.62 to 151.92 according to EBS data, potentially wrong-footing bulls in the process. Spot failed for three session in a row to register a daily close above the broken 153.41 Fibo, a 61.8% retrace of the 161.96 to 139.58 (July to September) EBS drop, a likely "bull trap".

A bull trap is set when a market breaks above a tech level but then reverses, and is usually a bearish sign. There is scope for a drop to probe the 200-DMA, which is currently at 151.53, though this level could limit losses in the near-term.

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Martin Miller is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own, editing by Ed Osmond

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